And you're ignoring your failures.
How many stocks that went to zero are in your backtest?
None?
Amazing. So every ticker you'll ever touch is immortal now. Buffett Jr., indeed.
Ok, again, look. 🙈 #
I'm not trying to dunk on you. I'm trying to get you to stop lying to yourself.
Most self-sabotage in trading looks like one of two things: fear or ego. Fear makes you cut winners early. Ego makes you hold losers forever.
What's going on? 🙉 #
Every trade has a cost. Even the "free" ones.
It's a zero sum game, so let's talk about it #
Let's do this plainly.
In the short term, trading behaves like a zero-sum competition before fees, and a negative-sum game after costs. Someone is taking the other side, and they are often better equipped than you are.
Retail traders usually lose on:
- execution quality,
- information speed,
- transaction costs,
- and emotional discipline.
Simply put: your capital and infrastructure are not built to beat firms that do this for a living.
You're a victim #
Sorry, snake-oil salesmen. You can sit this one out.
Even if you think you're objective, survivorship bias still sneaks in. You can't fully escape it; you can only design around it. More on that here.
But you're still ignoring your failures 🙊 #
You keep underpricing risk because the upside fantasy feels better than boring accuracy.
Cost #
Start with the obvious: "free" trading is not free.
If you aren't paying explicit commissions, you're still paying through spreads, slippage, payment-for-order-flow dynamics, financing costs, or product upsells. The bill always shows up somewhere.
And then there are the secondary leaks: data subscriptions, premium tools, and recurring fees that look small in isolation and brutal in aggregate.
After-tax returns #
Are you being honest with yourself here? What about to the IRS?
Run the math after taxes, not before.
Short-term gains are taxed harder. Frequent turnover increases tax drag. If your edge is thin, taxes can erase it entirely.
Volatility vs over-under performance #
Volatility distorts your self-evaluation.
In drawdowns, you feel uniquely cursed. In bull runs, you feel uniquely skilled. Both are usually false.
Performance is contextual. Measure against a benchmark and full-cycle results, not whatever mood the tape gives you today.